Stunning Risk: 1-in-200 Chance Our Solar System Could Lose a Planet!

"Shocking Risk: 1-in-200 Chance of Losing a Planet!"

In 5 billion years, the Sun will become a red giant, potentially ejecting planets. New simulations show increased risks from nearby stars affecting stability.
Dr. Emma Lee31 May 2025Last Update :
There Could Be A 1-In-200 Chance That The Solar System Loses A Planet Due To A Passing Star
www.iflscience.com

In about 5 billion years, the Sun will exhaust its hydrogen supply, transforming into a red giant. This cosmic evolution raises crucial questions about the stability of our Solar System. A recent study published on 2025-05-31 05:35:00 highlights the potential consequences of stellar interactions, suggesting that our planetary order may not be as stable as previously thought.

6 Key Takeaways
  • Sun will become a red giant in 5 billion years.
  • Solar System stability may be overestimated.
  • 19 stellar passages per million years predicted.
  • Mercury has highest risk of being ejected.
  • Earth has a 0.2% chance of loss.
  • Study published in journal Icarus.

Researchers argue that past models have overestimated the stability of planets in the Solar System. Their simulations indicate that close encounters with other stars could lead to significant disruptions, with Mercury facing the highest risk of being ejected from its orbit.

Fast Answer: The Solar System could face instability due to stellar encounters, with Mercury at the highest risk of being lost within the next 5 billion years.

This new research raises the question: how safe is our planet in the grand scheme of the cosmos? With an estimated 19 close stellar passages per million years, the likelihood of losing planets increases significantly. Consider these points:

  • Pluto has a 5% chance of instability due to orbit perturbations.
  • Mercury is statistically the most vulnerable planet, with an instability probability of 50-80%.
  • Earth faces a 0.2% chance of being lost, while Mars has a slightly higher risk at 0.3%.
The stability of our Solar System is under threat from potential stellar encounters, emphasizing the need for ongoing research in astrophysics.

As we look to the future, understanding these cosmic dynamics is essential. Will humanity find a way to adapt and survive as our Solar System evolves? The quest for answers continues.

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